This is just the third time in the last 15 seasons Jacksonville has been a road favorite in a division game (first time since 2017). Jacksonville is the first team to be favored in Week 1 after going 1-15 or worse the previous season since the San Diego Chargers in 2001. Lawrence is the third rookie quarterback to be a road favorite in Week 1 of his rookie season since the 1970 AFL/NFL merger, joining Russell Wilson (2012) and Joe Ferguson (1973). The last rookie 1st-round pick to be a road favorite in his first career start was Byron Leftwich in 2003 (Jaguars lost as 3-point favorites). Trevor Lawrence will be a road favorite in his first career start. Jacksonville Jaguars (-3) at Houston Texans, Sunday at 1 ET Since 2017, the Jets are 10-21-1 ATS on the road. Over the last two seasons, quarterbacks making their first career start are 18-6 ATS. He has only been a favorite of at least four points once in his career (5-point favorite vs Miami in 2019 team won by 1).Ĭarolina was 0-3 outright as a home favorite last season. Sam Darnold is 3-5 outright and 2-6 ATS as a favorite (all with the Jets). New York Jets at Carolina Panthers (-5), Sunday at 1 ET Over the last three seasons, Pittsburgh is 12-3-1 ATS as an underdog (3-1 ATS last season), including 7-2 ATS in Ben Roethlisberger starts. Last season, Pittsburgh started 8-2 ATS but finished 2-5 ATS in its final seven games including the playoffs. Pittsburgh Steelers at Buffalo Bills (-6.5), Sunday at 1 ETīuffalo is 12-4 ATS in Week 1 over the last 16 seasons (3-1 ATS under Sean McDermott).īuffalo games went 13-5-1 to the over last season (11-4-1 in regular season). The last five meetings have all gone under the total (since 2011). Four of his five starts went over the total, including the final four. Tampa Bay covered seven of its last nine games last season, including the playoffs.ĭak Prescott went 0-5 ATS as a starter last season. Tom Brady is 201-136-7 ATS in his career including the playoffs (.596). Tom Brady is 3-1-2 ATS in Week 1 following a Super Bowl victory. Reigning Super Bowl champions are 13-4-3 ATS in Week 1 the year after winning the title, including 9-3-3 in Thursday openers, during the past 20 years. Browns-Chiefs has the highest total in a Week 1 game since 2015.ĭallas Cowboys at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-7.5), Thursday at 8:20 ET Five games have totals in the 50s, the most in Week 1 in that span. The next closest Week 1 average O/U was 46.1 in 2014. The average over/under for Week 1 games currently sits at 47.6, which would be the highest average O/U for Week 1 games in our dataset (since 1986). The 49ers are just the third team in the last 20 seasons to be a road favorite of at least 7 points following a losing season. He's the third rookie since the merger to be a road favorite in Week 1 of his rookie season. I'll take the Buckeyes.In fact, Trevor Lawrence is the first first-round QB to be a road favorite in his first start since 2003 (Byron Leftwich). Notre Dame made a good hire, but this is an impossible situation for the Irish in Week 1. So.will one of you kindly explain to me why we need playoff expansion (thereby destroying the regular season) to include more teams when the one that would currently be "left out" is a huge dog to the number 2 team? It's totally warranted by the way. I'll take the Aggies, but I wouldn't touch this. That's a lot of points for an offense incorporating a new running back and three new receivers. Featured Promo: Want a free RotoBaller Premium Pass? Check out these sports betting promo offers from the top sportsbooks! All new sign-ups get a free bonus offer on their first deposit, and a free year of RotoBaller's Premium Pass for all sports ($450 value)! Sign Up Now! I keep track of my record and my points back from year to year. So a score of 1 means that I have little to no confidence, and a score of 5 is one I would place a decent wager on. I also assign a point value based on the confidence I have in each pick. Ties are for the other (European) football. I take the odds of each game and average them out at all the Vegas casinos and round to the nearest half. Big deal, right? Lots of people make picks. I will pick every college football game every week. I will fill you in on what's going to happen this year. 15.5 is too many since I wouldn't be shocked if the Jacks win outright. For a bonus pick though, take South Dakota State and the points against Iowa. FCS matchups going on as well, but I'm still not picking them. Our monster opening weekend finishes off with 35 more FBS vs.
0 Comments
Leave a Reply. |
Details
AuthorWrite something about yourself. No need to be fancy, just an overview. ArchivesCategories |